pacman::p_load(olsrr, corrplot, ggpubr, sf, spdep, GWmodel, tmap, tidyverse, gtsummary)Hands-on Exercise 8
Loading packages that will be used for this Hands-on Exercise
Importing geospatial data into R
mpsz = st_read(dsn = "data/geospatial", layer = "MP14_SUBZONE_WEB_PL")Reading layer `MP14_SUBZONE_WEB_PL' from data source
`/Users/chuangjinlei/Desktop/JinLei13/IS415-GAA/Hands-on_Ex/Hands-on_Ex08/data/geospatial'
using driver `ESRI Shapefile'
Simple feature collection with 323 features and 15 fields
Geometry type: MULTIPOLYGON
Dimension: XY
Bounding box: xmin: 2667.538 ymin: 15748.72 xmax: 56396.44 ymax: 50256.33
Projected CRS: SVY21The data has the wrong epsg code, hence st_transform() is used to update it with the right epsg code
mpsz_svy21 <- st_transform(mpsz, 3414)Checking to see if the correct EPSG code has been updated
st_crs(mpsz_svy21)Coordinate Reference System:
User input: EPSG:3414
wkt:
PROJCRS["SVY21 / Singapore TM",
BASEGEOGCRS["SVY21",
DATUM["SVY21",
ELLIPSOID["WGS 84",6378137,298.257223563,
LENGTHUNIT["metre",1]]],
PRIMEM["Greenwich",0,
ANGLEUNIT["degree",0.0174532925199433]],
ID["EPSG",4757]],
CONVERSION["Singapore Transverse Mercator",
METHOD["Transverse Mercator",
ID["EPSG",9807]],
PARAMETER["Latitude of natural origin",1.36666666666667,
ANGLEUNIT["degree",0.0174532925199433],
ID["EPSG",8801]],
PARAMETER["Longitude of natural origin",103.833333333333,
ANGLEUNIT["degree",0.0174532925199433],
ID["EPSG",8802]],
PARAMETER["Scale factor at natural origin",1,
SCALEUNIT["unity",1],
ID["EPSG",8805]],
PARAMETER["False easting",28001.642,
LENGTHUNIT["metre",1],
ID["EPSG",8806]],
PARAMETER["False northing",38744.572,
LENGTHUNIT["metre",1],
ID["EPSG",8807]]],
CS[Cartesian,2],
AXIS["northing (N)",north,
ORDER[1],
LENGTHUNIT["metre",1]],
AXIS["easting (E)",east,
ORDER[2],
LENGTHUNIT["metre",1]],
USAGE[
SCOPE["Cadastre, engineering survey, topographic mapping."],
AREA["Singapore - onshore and offshore."],
BBOX[1.13,103.59,1.47,104.07]],
ID["EPSG",3414]]Revealing the extent of mpsz_svy21 using st_bbox() function
st_bbox(mpsz_svy21) xmin ymin xmax ymax
2667.538 15748.721 56396.440 50256.334 Importing aspatial data into R
condo_resale = read_csv("data/aspatial/Condo_resale_2015.csv")Rows: 1436 Columns: 23
── Column specification ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Delimiter: ","
dbl (23): LATITUDE, LONGITUDE, POSTCODE, SELLING_PRICE, AREA_SQM, AGE, PROX_...
ℹ Use `spec()` to retrieve the full column specification for this data.
ℹ Specify the column types or set `show_col_types = FALSE` to quiet this message.displaying the data structure
glimpse(condo_resale)Rows: 1,436
Columns: 23
$ LATITUDE <dbl> 1.287145, 1.328698, 1.313727, 1.308563, 1.321437,…
$ LONGITUDE <dbl> 103.7802, 103.8123, 103.7971, 103.8247, 103.9505,…
$ POSTCODE <dbl> 118635, 288420, 267833, 258380, 467169, 466472, 3…
$ SELLING_PRICE <dbl> 3000000, 3880000, 3325000, 4250000, 1400000, 1320…
$ AREA_SQM <dbl> 309, 290, 248, 127, 145, 139, 218, 141, 165, 168,…
$ AGE <dbl> 30, 32, 33, 7, 28, 22, 24, 24, 27, 31, 17, 22, 6,…
$ PROX_CBD <dbl> 7.941259, 6.609797, 6.898000, 4.038861, 11.783402…
$ PROX_CHILDCARE <dbl> 0.16597932, 0.28027246, 0.42922669, 0.39473543, 0…
$ PROX_ELDERLYCARE <dbl> 2.5198118, 1.9333338, 0.5021395, 1.9910316, 1.121…
$ PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA <dbl> 6.618741, 7.505109, 6.463887, 4.906512, 6.410632,…
$ PROX_HAWKER_MARKET <dbl> 1.76542207, 0.54507614, 0.37789301, 1.68259969, 0…
$ PROX_KINDERGARTEN <dbl> 0.05835552, 0.61592412, 0.14120309, 0.38200076, 0…
$ PROX_MRT <dbl> 0.5607188, 0.6584461, 0.3053433, 0.6910183, 0.528…
$ PROX_PARK <dbl> 1.1710446, 0.1992269, 0.2779886, 0.9832843, 0.116…
$ PROX_PRIMARY_SCH <dbl> 1.6340256, 0.9747834, 1.4715016, 1.4546324, 0.709…
$ PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH <dbl> 3.3273195, 0.9747834, 1.4715016, 2.3006394, 0.709…
$ PROX_SHOPPING_MALL <dbl> 2.2102717, 2.9374279, 1.2256850, 0.3525671, 1.307…
$ PROX_SUPERMARKET <dbl> 0.9103958, 0.5900617, 0.4135583, 0.4162219, 0.581…
$ PROX_BUS_STOP <dbl> 0.10336166, 0.28673408, 0.28504777, 0.29872340, 0…
$ NO_Of_UNITS <dbl> 18, 20, 27, 30, 30, 31, 32, 32, 32, 32, 34, 34, 3…
$ FAMILY_FRIENDLY <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0…
$ FREEHOLD <dbl> 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1…
$ LEASEHOLD_99YR <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0…Seeing the data in X-coordinate column
head(condo_resale$LONGITUDE) [1] 103.7802 103.8123 103.7971 103.8247 103.9505 103.9386Seeing the data in Y-coordinate column
head(condo_resale$LATITUDE)[1] 1.287145 1.328698 1.313727 1.308563 1.321437 1.314198Seeing the summary statistic of condo resale data
summary(condo_resale) LATITUDE LONGITUDE POSTCODE SELLING_PRICE
Min. :1.240 Min. :103.7 Min. : 18965 Min. : 540000
1st Qu.:1.309 1st Qu.:103.8 1st Qu.:259849 1st Qu.: 1100000
Median :1.328 Median :103.8 Median :469298 Median : 1383222
Mean :1.334 Mean :103.8 Mean :440439 Mean : 1751211
3rd Qu.:1.357 3rd Qu.:103.9 3rd Qu.:589486 3rd Qu.: 1950000
Max. :1.454 Max. :104.0 Max. :828833 Max. :18000000
AREA_SQM AGE PROX_CBD PROX_CHILDCARE
Min. : 34.0 Min. : 0.00 Min. : 0.3869 Min. :0.004927
1st Qu.:103.0 1st Qu.: 5.00 1st Qu.: 5.5574 1st Qu.:0.174481
Median :121.0 Median :11.00 Median : 9.3567 Median :0.258135
Mean :136.5 Mean :12.14 Mean : 9.3254 Mean :0.326313
3rd Qu.:156.0 3rd Qu.:18.00 3rd Qu.:12.6661 3rd Qu.:0.368293
Max. :619.0 Max. :37.00 Max. :19.1804 Max. :3.465726
PROX_ELDERLYCARE PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA PROX_HAWKER_MARKET PROX_KINDERGARTEN
Min. :0.05451 Min. :0.2145 Min. :0.05182 Min. :0.004927
1st Qu.:0.61254 1st Qu.:3.1643 1st Qu.:0.55245 1st Qu.:0.276345
Median :0.94179 Median :4.6186 Median :0.90842 Median :0.413385
Mean :1.05351 Mean :4.5981 Mean :1.27987 Mean :0.458903
3rd Qu.:1.35122 3rd Qu.:5.7550 3rd Qu.:1.68578 3rd Qu.:0.578474
Max. :3.94916 Max. :9.1554 Max. :5.37435 Max. :2.229045
PROX_MRT PROX_PARK PROX_PRIMARY_SCH PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH
Min. :0.05278 Min. :0.02906 Min. :0.07711 Min. :0.07711
1st Qu.:0.34646 1st Qu.:0.26211 1st Qu.:0.44024 1st Qu.:1.34451
Median :0.57430 Median :0.39926 Median :0.63505 Median :1.88213
Mean :0.67316 Mean :0.49802 Mean :0.75471 Mean :2.27347
3rd Qu.:0.84844 3rd Qu.:0.65592 3rd Qu.:0.95104 3rd Qu.:2.90954
Max. :3.48037 Max. :2.16105 Max. :3.92899 Max. :6.74819
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL PROX_SUPERMARKET PROX_BUS_STOP NO_Of_UNITS
Min. :0.0000 Min. :0.0000 Min. :0.001595 Min. : 18.0
1st Qu.:0.5258 1st Qu.:0.3695 1st Qu.:0.098356 1st Qu.: 188.8
Median :0.9357 Median :0.5687 Median :0.151710 Median : 360.0
Mean :1.0455 Mean :0.6141 Mean :0.193974 Mean : 409.2
3rd Qu.:1.3994 3rd Qu.:0.7862 3rd Qu.:0.220466 3rd Qu.: 590.0
Max. :3.4774 Max. :2.2441 Max. :2.476639 Max. :1703.0
FAMILY_FRIENDLY FREEHOLD LEASEHOLD_99YR
Min. :0.0000 Min. :0.0000 Min. :0.0000
1st Qu.:0.0000 1st Qu.:0.0000 1st Qu.:0.0000
Median :0.0000 Median :0.0000 Median :0.0000
Mean :0.4868 Mean :0.4227 Mean :0.4882
3rd Qu.:1.0000 3rd Qu.:1.0000 3rd Qu.:1.0000
Max. :1.0000 Max. :1.0000 Max. :1.0000 Converting condo resale data from aspatial data frame to a sf object
- st_transform() is used to ensure that both data are in the same coordinate reference system
condo_resale.sf <- st_as_sf(condo_resale,
coords = c("LONGITUDE", "LATITUDE"),
crs=4326) |>
st_transform(crs=3414)Seeing the content of the new condo resale data as a sf object
head(condo_resale.sf)Simple feature collection with 6 features and 21 fields
Geometry type: POINT
Dimension: XY
Bounding box: xmin: 22085.12 ymin: 29951.54 xmax: 41042.56 ymax: 34546.2
Projected CRS: SVY21 / Singapore TM
# A tibble: 6 × 22
POSTCODE SELLING_PRICE AREA_SQM AGE PROX_CBD PROX_CHILDCARE PROX_ELDERLYCARE
<dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl>
1 118635 3000000 309 30 7.94 0.166 2.52
2 288420 3880000 290 32 6.61 0.280 1.93
3 267833 3325000 248 33 6.90 0.429 0.502
4 258380 4250000 127 7 4.04 0.395 1.99
5 467169 1400000 145 28 11.8 0.119 1.12
6 466472 1320000 139 22 10.3 0.125 0.789
# ℹ 15 more variables: PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA <dbl>, PROX_HAWKER_MARKET <dbl>,
# PROX_KINDERGARTEN <dbl>, PROX_MRT <dbl>, PROX_PARK <dbl>,
# PROX_PRIMARY_SCH <dbl>, PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH <dbl>,
# PROX_SHOPPING_MALL <dbl>, PROX_SUPERMARKET <dbl>, PROX_BUS_STOP <dbl>,
# NO_Of_UNITS <dbl>, FAMILY_FRIENDLY <dbl>, FREEHOLD <dbl>,
# LEASEHOLD_99YR <dbl>, geometry <POINT [m]>Plotting the distribution of SELLING_PRICE
ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x=`SELLING_PRICE`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="light blue")
Using log transformation to normalise the distribution of SELLING_PRICE
condo_resale.sf <- condo_resale.sf |>
mutate(`LOG_SELLING_PRICE` = log(SELLING_PRICE))Plotting the distribution of LOG_SELLING_PRICE
ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x=`LOG_SELLING_PRICE`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="light blue")
Plotting trellis plot of the different variables in condo resale data
AREA_SQM <- ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `AREA_SQM`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="light blue")
AGE <- ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `AGE`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="light blue")
PROX_CBD <- ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_CBD`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="light blue")
PROX_CHILDCARE <- ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_CHILDCARE`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="light blue")
PROX_ELDERLYCARE <- ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_ELDERLYCARE`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="light blue")
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA <- ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf,
aes(x= `PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="light blue")
PROX_HAWKER_MARKET <- ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_HAWKER_MARKET`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="light blue")
PROX_KINDERGARTEN <- ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_KINDERGARTEN`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="light blue")
PROX_MRT <- ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_MRT`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="light blue")
PROX_PARK <- ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_PARK`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="light blue")
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH <- ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_PRIMARY_SCH`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="light blue")
PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH <- ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf,
aes(x= `PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="light blue")
ggarrange(AREA_SQM, AGE, PROX_CBD, PROX_CHILDCARE, PROX_ELDERLYCARE,
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA, PROX_HAWKER_MARKET, PROX_KINDERGARTEN, PROX_MRT,
PROX_PARK, PROX_PRIMARY_SCH, PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH,
ncol = 3, nrow = 4)
Plotting statistical map to reveal the geospatial distribution of condominium resale prices
tmap_mode("view")tmap mode set to interactive viewingtm_shape(mpsz_svy21) +
tm_polygons() +
tmap_options(check.and.fix = TRUE) +
tm_shape(condo_resale.sf) +
tm_dots(col = "SELLING_PRICE",
alpha = 0.6,
style="quantile") +
tm_view(set.zoom.limits = c(11,14))Warning: The shape mpsz_svy21 is invalid (after reprojection). See
sf::st_is_validtmap_mode("plot")tmap mode set to plottingSimple linear regression method
condo.slr <- lm(formula=SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM, data = condo_resale.sf)
summary(condo.slr)
Call:
lm(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM, data = condo_resale.sf)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-3695815 -391764 -87517 258900 13503875
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) -258121.1 63517.2 -4.064 5.09e-05 ***
AREA_SQM 14719.0 428.1 34.381 < 2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Residual standard error: 942700 on 1434 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.4518, Adjusted R-squared: 0.4515
F-statistic: 1182 on 1 and 1434 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16visualising the regression line on a scatterplot
ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf,
aes(x=`AREA_SQM`, y=`SELLING_PRICE`)) +
geom_point() +
geom_smooth(method = lm)`geom_smooth()` using formula = 'y ~ x'
Deriving scatterplot matrix of the relationship between the independent variables in condo_resale data.frame to ensure that there is no multicollinearity problem
corrplot(cor(condo_resale[, 5:23]), diag = FALSE, order = "AOE",
tl.pos = "td", tl.cex = 0.5, method = "number", type = "upper")
- Reveals that Freehold is highly correlated to LEASE_99YEAR. So only one of the variables should be included in the regression
Building a hedonic pricing model using multiple linear regression method
condo.mlr <- lm(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE +
PROX_CBD + PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE +
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA + PROX_HAWKER_MARKET + PROX_KINDERGARTEN +
PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH +
PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_SUPERMARKET +
PROX_BUS_STOP + NO_Of_UNITS + FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data=condo_resale.sf)
summary(condo.mlr)
Call:
lm(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD + PROX_CHILDCARE +
PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA + PROX_HAWKER_MARKET +
PROX_KINDERGARTEN + PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH +
PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_SUPERMARKET +
PROX_BUS_STOP + NO_Of_UNITS + FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data = condo_resale.sf)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-3475964 -293923 -23069 241043 12260381
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) 481728.40 121441.01 3.967 7.65e-05 ***
AREA_SQM 12708.32 369.59 34.385 < 2e-16 ***
AGE -24440.82 2763.16 -8.845 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_CBD -78669.78 6768.97 -11.622 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_CHILDCARE -351617.91 109467.25 -3.212 0.00135 **
PROX_ELDERLYCARE 171029.42 42110.51 4.061 5.14e-05 ***
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 38474.53 12523.57 3.072 0.00217 **
PROX_HAWKER_MARKET 23746.10 29299.76 0.810 0.41782
PROX_KINDERGARTEN 147468.99 82668.87 1.784 0.07466 .
PROX_MRT -314599.68 57947.44 -5.429 6.66e-08 ***
PROX_PARK 563280.50 66551.68 8.464 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 180186.08 65237.95 2.762 0.00582 **
PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH 2280.04 20410.43 0.112 0.91107
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL -206604.06 42840.60 -4.823 1.57e-06 ***
PROX_SUPERMARKET -44991.80 77082.64 -0.584 0.55953
PROX_BUS_STOP 683121.35 138353.28 4.938 8.85e-07 ***
NO_Of_UNITS -231.18 89.03 -2.597 0.00951 **
FAMILY_FRIENDLY 140340.77 47020.55 2.985 0.00289 **
FREEHOLD 359913.01 49220.22 7.312 4.38e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Residual standard error: 755800 on 1417 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.6518, Adjusted R-squared: 0.6474
F-statistic: 147.4 on 18 and 1417 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16Preparing publication quality table using olsrr method
- variables that are not statistically significant are removed from the model
condo.mlr1 <- lm(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE +
PROX_CBD + PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE +
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA + PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK +
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_BUS_STOP +
NO_Of_UNITS + FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data=condo_resale.sf)
ols_regress(condo.mlr1) Model Summary
------------------------------------------------------------------------
R 0.807 RMSE 755957.289
R-Squared 0.651 Coef. Var 43.168
Adj. R-Squared 0.647 MSE 571471422208.591
Pred R-Squared 0.638 MAE 414819.628
------------------------------------------------------------------------
RMSE: Root Mean Square Error
MSE: Mean Square Error
MAE: Mean Absolute Error
ANOVA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sum of
Squares DF Mean Square F Sig.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Regression 1.512586e+15 14 1.080418e+14 189.059 0.0000
Residual 8.120609e+14 1421 571471422208.591
Total 2.324647e+15 1435
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Parameter Estimates
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
model Beta Std. Error Std. Beta t Sig lower upper
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(Intercept) 527633.222 108183.223 4.877 0.000 315417.244 739849.200
AREA_SQM 12777.523 367.479 0.584 34.771 0.000 12056.663 13498.382
AGE -24687.739 2754.845 -0.167 -8.962 0.000 -30091.739 -19283.740
PROX_CBD -77131.323 5763.125 -0.263 -13.384 0.000 -88436.469 -65826.176
PROX_CHILDCARE -318472.751 107959.512 -0.084 -2.950 0.003 -530249.889 -106695.613
PROX_ELDERLYCARE 185575.623 39901.864 0.090 4.651 0.000 107302.737 263848.510
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 39163.254 11754.829 0.060 3.332 0.001 16104.571 62221.936
PROX_MRT -294745.107 56916.367 -0.112 -5.179 0.000 -406394.234 -183095.980
PROX_PARK 570504.807 65507.029 0.150 8.709 0.000 442003.938 699005.677
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 159856.136 60234.599 0.062 2.654 0.008 41697.849 278014.424
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL -220947.251 36561.832 -0.115 -6.043 0.000 -292668.213 -149226.288
PROX_BUS_STOP 682482.221 134513.243 0.134 5.074 0.000 418616.359 946348.082
NO_Of_UNITS -245.480 87.947 -0.053 -2.791 0.005 -418.000 -72.961
FAMILY_FRIENDLY 146307.576 46893.021 0.057 3.120 0.002 54320.593 238294.560
FREEHOLD 350599.812 48506.485 0.136 7.228 0.000 255447.802 445751.821
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Preparing publication quality table using gtsummary method
tbl_regression(condo.mlr1, intercept = TRUE)| Characteristic | Beta | 95% CI1 | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 527,633 | 315,417, 739,849 | <0.001 |
| AREA_SQM | 12,778 | 12,057, 13,498 | <0.001 |
| AGE | -24,688 | -30,092, -19,284 | <0.001 |
| PROX_CBD | -77,131 | -88,436, -65,826 | <0.001 |
| PROX_CHILDCARE | -318,473 | -530,250, -106,696 | 0.003 |
| PROX_ELDERLYCARE | 185,576 | 107,303, 263,849 | <0.001 |
| PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA | 39,163 | 16,105, 62,222 | <0.001 |
| PROX_MRT | -294,745 | -406,394, -183,096 | <0.001 |
| PROX_PARK | 570,505 | 442,004, 699,006 | <0.001 |
| PROX_PRIMARY_SCH | 159,856 | 41,698, 278,014 | 0.008 |
| PROX_SHOPPING_MALL | -220,947 | -292,668, -149,226 | <0.001 |
| PROX_BUS_STOP | 682,482 | 418,616, 946,348 | <0.001 |
| NO_Of_UNITS | -245 | -418, -73 | 0.005 |
| FAMILY_FRIENDLY | 146,308 | 54,321, 238,295 | 0.002 |
| FREEHOLD | 350,600 | 255,448, 445,752 | <0.001 |
| 1 CI = Confidence Interval | |||
Adding model statistic in the report by adding a table source not using add_glance_source_note() function
tbl_regression(condo.mlr1,
intercept = TRUE) |>
add_glance_source_note(
label = list(sigma ~ "\U03C3"),
include = c(r.squared, adj.r.squared,
AIC, statistic,
p.value, sigma))| Characteristic | Beta | 95% CI1 | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 527,633 | 315,417, 739,849 | <0.001 |
| AREA_SQM | 12,778 | 12,057, 13,498 | <0.001 |
| AGE | -24,688 | -30,092, -19,284 | <0.001 |
| PROX_CBD | -77,131 | -88,436, -65,826 | <0.001 |
| PROX_CHILDCARE | -318,473 | -530,250, -106,696 | 0.003 |
| PROX_ELDERLYCARE | 185,576 | 107,303, 263,849 | <0.001 |
| PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA | 39,163 | 16,105, 62,222 | <0.001 |
| PROX_MRT | -294,745 | -406,394, -183,096 | <0.001 |
| PROX_PARK | 570,505 | 442,004, 699,006 | <0.001 |
| PROX_PRIMARY_SCH | 159,856 | 41,698, 278,014 | 0.008 |
| PROX_SHOPPING_MALL | -220,947 | -292,668, -149,226 | <0.001 |
| PROX_BUS_STOP | 682,482 | 418,616, 946,348 | <0.001 |
| NO_Of_UNITS | -245 | -418, -73 | 0.005 |
| FAMILY_FRIENDLY | 146,308 | 54,321, 238,295 | 0.002 |
| FREEHOLD | 350,600 | 255,448, 445,752 | <0.001 |
| R² = 0.651; Adjusted R² = 0.647; AIC = 42,967; Statistic = 189; p-value = <0.001; σ = 755,957 | |||
| 1 CI = Confidence Interval | |||
Checking for multicollinearity
ols_vif_tol(condo.mlr1) Variables Tolerance VIF
1 AREA_SQM 0.8728554 1.145665
2 AGE 0.7071275 1.414172
3 PROX_CBD 0.6356147 1.573280
4 PROX_CHILDCARE 0.3066019 3.261559
5 PROX_ELDERLYCARE 0.6598479 1.515501
6 PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 0.7510311 1.331503
7 PROX_MRT 0.5236090 1.909822
8 PROX_PARK 0.8279261 1.207837
9 PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 0.4524628 2.210126
10 PROX_SHOPPING_MALL 0.6738795 1.483945
11 PROX_BUS_STOP 0.3514118 2.845664
12 NO_Of_UNITS 0.6901036 1.449058
13 FAMILY_FRIENDLY 0.7244157 1.380423
14 FREEHOLD 0.6931163 1.442759- VIF of the independent variables are less than 10. I can safely conclude that there are no signs of multicollinearity
Test for non-linearity
ols_plot_resid_fit(condo.mlr1)
- Most of the data points are scattered around the 0 line. Hence, we can safely conclude that the relationships between the dependent variables are regressors are linear.
Test for normality assumption
ols_plot_resid_hist(condo.mlr1)
- The residuals of the multiple linear regression model resembles normal distribution
Formal statistical test methods for normality
ols_test_normality(condo.mlr1)Warning in ks.test(y, "pnorm", mean(y), sd(y)): ties should not be present for
the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test-----------------------------------------------
Test Statistic pvalue
-----------------------------------------------
Shapiro-Wilk 0.6856 0.0000
Kolmogorov-Smirnov 0.1366 0.0000
Cramer-von Mises 121.0768 0.0000
Anderson-Darling 67.9551 0.0000
-----------------------------------------------Exporting the residuals from the hedonic pricing model and saving it as a dataframe
mlr.output <- as.data.frame(condo.mlr1$residuals)Joining the residual dataframe with condo_resale.sf object
condo_resale.res.sf <- cbind(condo_resale.sf,
condo.mlr1$residuals) %>%
rename(`MLR_RES` = `condo.mlr1.residuals`)Converting condo_resale.sf from sf dataframe to SpatialPointsDataFrame
condo_resale.sp <- as_Spatial(condo_resale.res.sf)
condo_resale.spclass : SpatialPointsDataFrame
features : 1436
extent : 14940.85, 43352.45, 24765.67, 48382.81 (xmin, xmax, ymin, ymax)
crs : +proj=tmerc +lat_0=1.36666666666667 +lon_0=103.833333333333 +k=1 +x_0=28001.642 +y_0=38744.572 +ellps=WGS84 +towgs84=0,0,0,0,0,0,0 +units=m +no_defs
variables : 23
names : POSTCODE, SELLING_PRICE, AREA_SQM, AGE, PROX_CBD, PROX_CHILDCARE, PROX_ELDERLYCARE, PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA, PROX_HAWKER_MARKET, PROX_KINDERGARTEN, PROX_MRT, PROX_PARK, PROX_PRIMARY_SCH, PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH, PROX_SHOPPING_MALL, ...
min values : 18965, 540000, 34, 0, 0.386916393, 0.004927023, 0.054508623, 0.214539508, 0.051817113, 0.004927023, 0.052779424, 0.029064164, 0.077106132, 0.077106132, 0, ...
max values : 828833, 1.8e+07, 619, 37, 19.18042832, 3.46572633, 3.949157205, 9.15540001, 5.374348075, 2.229045366, 3.48037319, 2.16104919, 3.928989144, 6.748192062, 3.477433767, ... Creating interactive point symbol map of residuals
tmap_mode("view")tmap mode set to interactive viewingtm_shape(mpsz_svy21)+
tmap_options(check.and.fix = TRUE) +
tm_polygons(alpha = 0.4) +
tm_shape(condo_resale.res.sf) +
tm_dots(col = "MLR_RES",
alpha = 0.6,
style="quantile") +
tm_view(set.zoom.limits = c(11,14))Warning: The shape mpsz_svy21 is invalid (after reprojection). See
sf::st_is_validVariable(s) "MLR_RES" contains positive and negative values, so midpoint is set to 0. Set midpoint = NA to show the full spectrum of the color palette.tmap_mode("plot")tmap mode set to plotting- reveals that there is sign of spatial autocorrelation
Computing distance-based weight matrix
nb <- dnearneigh(coordinates(condo_resale.sp), 0, 1500, longlat = FALSE)
summary(nb)Neighbour list object:
Number of regions: 1436
Number of nonzero links: 66266
Percentage nonzero weights: 3.213526
Average number of links: 46.14624
10 disjoint connected subgraphs
Link number distribution:
1 3 5 7 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
3 3 9 4 3 15 10 19 17 45 19 5 14 29 19 6 35 45 18 47
25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44
16 43 22 26 21 11 9 23 22 13 16 25 21 37 16 18 8 21 4 12
45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64
8 36 18 14 14 43 11 12 8 13 12 13 4 5 6 12 11 20 29 33
65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84
15 20 10 14 15 15 11 16 12 10 8 19 12 14 9 8 4 13 11 6
85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104
4 9 4 4 4 6 2 16 9 4 5 9 3 9 4 2 1 2 1 1
105 106 107 108 109 110 112 116 125
1 5 9 2 1 3 1 1 1
3 least connected regions:
193 194 277 with 1 link
1 most connected region:
285 with 125 linksConverting the output neighbours lists into a spatial weights
nb_lw <- nb2listw(nb, style = 'W')
summary(nb_lw)Characteristics of weights list object:
Neighbour list object:
Number of regions: 1436
Number of nonzero links: 66266
Percentage nonzero weights: 3.213526
Average number of links: 46.14624
10 disjoint connected subgraphs
Link number distribution:
1 3 5 7 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
3 3 9 4 3 15 10 19 17 45 19 5 14 29 19 6 35 45 18 47
25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44
16 43 22 26 21 11 9 23 22 13 16 25 21 37 16 18 8 21 4 12
45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64
8 36 18 14 14 43 11 12 8 13 12 13 4 5 6 12 11 20 29 33
65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84
15 20 10 14 15 15 11 16 12 10 8 19 12 14 9 8 4 13 11 6
85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104
4 9 4 4 4 6 2 16 9 4 5 9 3 9 4 2 1 2 1 1
105 106 107 108 109 110 112 116 125
1 5 9 2 1 3 1 1 1
3 least connected regions:
193 194 277 with 1 link
1 most connected region:
285 with 125 links
Weights style: W
Weights constants summary:
n nn S0 S1 S2
W 1436 2062096 1436 94.81916 5798.341Running Moran’s I test
lm.morantest(condo.mlr1, nb_lw)
Global Moran I for regression residuals
data:
model: lm(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD +
PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA + PROX_MRT +
PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_BUS_STOP +
NO_Of_UNITS + FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD, data = condo_resale.sf)
weights: nb_lw
Moran I statistic standard deviate = 24.366, p-value < 2.2e-16
alternative hypothesis: greater
sample estimates:
Observed Moran I Expectation Variance
1.438876e-01 -5.487594e-03 3.758259e-05 p-value is < than 0.05, hence, we will reject the null hypothesis that the residuals are randomly distributed
Observed Global Moran I = 0.1424418 which is greater than 0, we can infer than the residuals resemble cluster distribution.
Computing bandwidth for fixed bandwidth GWR model
bw.fixed <- bw.gwr(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD +
PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA +
PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH +
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_BUS_STOP + NO_Of_UNITS +
FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data=condo_resale.sp,
approach="CV",
kernel="gaussian",
adaptive=FALSE,
longlat=FALSE)Fixed bandwidth: 17660.96 CV score: 8.259118e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 10917.26 CV score: 7.970454e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 6749.419 CV score: 7.273273e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 4173.553 CV score: 6.300006e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 2581.58 CV score: 5.404958e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 1597.687 CV score: 4.857515e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 989.6077 CV score: 4.722431e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 613.7939 CV score: 1.37828e+16
Fixed bandwidth: 1221.873 CV score: 4.778717e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 846.0596 CV score: 4.791629e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 1078.325 CV score: 4.751406e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 934.7772 CV score: 4.72518e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 1023.495 CV score: 4.730305e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 968.6643 CV score: 4.721317e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 955.7206 CV score: 4.722072e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 976.6639 CV score: 4.721387e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 963.7202 CV score: 4.721484e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.7199 CV score: 4.721293e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 973.6083 CV score: 4.721309e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 970.5527 CV score: 4.721295e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 972.4412 CV score: 4.721296e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.2741 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 970.9985 CV score: 4.721293e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.4443 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.5496 CV score: 4.721293e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3793 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3391 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3143 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3545 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3296 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.345 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3355 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3413 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3377 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.34 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3405 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3408 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.341 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3407 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3409 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3408 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3408 CV score: 4.721292e+14 - The recommended bandwidth is 971.3408 metres.
Building fixed bandwidth GWR model
gwr.fixed <- gwr.basic(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD +
PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA +
PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH +
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_BUS_STOP + NO_Of_UNITS +
FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data=condo_resale.sp,
bw=bw.fixed,
kernel = 'gaussian',
longlat = FALSE)
gwr.fixed ***********************************************************************
* Package GWmodel *
***********************************************************************
Program starts at: 2024-03-11 00:30:04
Call:
gwr.basic(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD +
PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA +
PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_SHOPPING_MALL +
PROX_BUS_STOP + NO_Of_UNITS + FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data = condo_resale.sp, bw = bw.fixed, kernel = "gaussian",
longlat = FALSE)
Dependent (y) variable: SELLING_PRICE
Independent variables: AREA_SQM AGE PROX_CBD PROX_CHILDCARE PROX_ELDERLYCARE PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA PROX_MRT PROX_PARK PROX_PRIMARY_SCH PROX_SHOPPING_MALL PROX_BUS_STOP NO_Of_UNITS FAMILY_FRIENDLY FREEHOLD
Number of data points: 1436
***********************************************************************
* Results of Global Regression *
***********************************************************************
Call:
lm(formula = formula, data = data)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-3470778 -298119 -23481 248917 12234210
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) 527633.22 108183.22 4.877 1.20e-06 ***
AREA_SQM 12777.52 367.48 34.771 < 2e-16 ***
AGE -24687.74 2754.84 -8.962 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_CBD -77131.32 5763.12 -13.384 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_CHILDCARE -318472.75 107959.51 -2.950 0.003231 **
PROX_ELDERLYCARE 185575.62 39901.86 4.651 3.61e-06 ***
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 39163.25 11754.83 3.332 0.000885 ***
PROX_MRT -294745.11 56916.37 -5.179 2.56e-07 ***
PROX_PARK 570504.81 65507.03 8.709 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 159856.14 60234.60 2.654 0.008046 **
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL -220947.25 36561.83 -6.043 1.93e-09 ***
PROX_BUS_STOP 682482.22 134513.24 5.074 4.42e-07 ***
NO_Of_UNITS -245.48 87.95 -2.791 0.005321 **
FAMILY_FRIENDLY 146307.58 46893.02 3.120 0.001845 **
FREEHOLD 350599.81 48506.48 7.228 7.98e-13 ***
---Significance stars
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Residual standard error: 756000 on 1421 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.6507
Adjusted R-squared: 0.6472
F-statistic: 189.1 on 14 and 1421 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16
***Extra Diagnostic information
Residual sum of squares: 8.120609e+14
Sigma(hat): 752522.9
AIC: 42966.76
AICc: 42967.14
BIC: 41731.39
***********************************************************************
* Results of Geographically Weighted Regression *
***********************************************************************
*********************Model calibration information*********************
Kernel function: gaussian
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3408
Regression points: the same locations as observations are used.
Distance metric: Euclidean distance metric is used.
****************Summary of GWR coefficient estimates:******************
Min. 1st Qu. Median 3rd Qu.
Intercept -3.5988e+07 -5.1998e+05 7.6780e+05 1.7412e+06
AREA_SQM 1.0003e+03 5.2758e+03 7.4740e+03 1.2301e+04
AGE -1.3475e+05 -2.0813e+04 -8.6260e+03 -3.7784e+03
PROX_CBD -7.7047e+07 -2.3608e+05 -8.3600e+04 3.4645e+04
PROX_CHILDCARE -6.0097e+06 -3.3667e+05 -9.7425e+04 2.9008e+05
PROX_ELDERLYCARE -3.5000e+06 -1.5970e+05 3.1971e+04 1.9577e+05
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA -3.0170e+06 -8.2013e+04 7.0749e+04 2.2612e+05
PROX_MRT -3.5282e+06 -6.5836e+05 -1.8833e+05 3.6922e+04
PROX_PARK -1.2062e+06 -2.1732e+05 3.5383e+04 4.1335e+05
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH -2.2695e+07 -1.7066e+05 4.8472e+04 5.1555e+05
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL -7.2585e+06 -1.6684e+05 -1.0517e+04 1.5923e+05
PROX_BUS_STOP -1.4676e+06 -4.5206e+04 3.7601e+05 1.1664e+06
NO_Of_UNITS -1.3170e+03 -2.4822e+02 -3.0846e+01 2.5496e+02
FAMILY_FRIENDLY -2.2749e+06 -1.1140e+05 7.6214e+03 1.6107e+05
FREEHOLD -9.2067e+06 3.8073e+04 1.5169e+05 3.7528e+05
Max.
Intercept 112793007
AREA_SQM 21575
AGE 434200
PROX_CBD 2704591
PROX_CHILDCARE 1654088
PROX_ELDERLYCARE 38867786
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 78515685
PROX_MRT 3124310
PROX_PARK 18122416
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 4637495
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL 1529951
PROX_BUS_STOP 11342166
NO_Of_UNITS 12907
FAMILY_FRIENDLY 1720744
FREEHOLD 6073633
************************Diagnostic information*************************
Number of data points: 1436
Effective number of parameters (2trace(S) - trace(S'S)): 438.3803
Effective degrees of freedom (n-2trace(S) + trace(S'S)): 997.6197
AICc (GWR book, Fotheringham, et al. 2002, p. 61, eq 2.33): 42263.61
AIC (GWR book, Fotheringham, et al. 2002,GWR p. 96, eq. 4.22): 41632.36
BIC (GWR book, Fotheringham, et al. 2002,GWR p. 61, eq. 2.34): 42515.71
Residual sum of squares: 2.534071e+14
R-square value: 0.8909911
Adjusted R-square value: 0.8430417
***********************************************************************
Program stops at: 2024-03-11 00:30:05 - The report shows that the AICc of the gwr is 42263.61 which is significantly smaller than the globel multiple linear regression model of 42967.1. Hence, it is a better model than multiple linear regression model.
Calculating number of data points to use for adaptive bandwidth GWR model
bw.adaptive <- bw.gwr(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE +
PROX_CBD + PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE +
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA + PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK +
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_BUS_STOP +
NO_Of_UNITS + FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data=condo_resale.sp,
approach="CV",
kernel="gaussian",
adaptive=TRUE,
longlat=FALSE)Adaptive bandwidth: 895 CV score: 7.952401e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 561 CV score: 7.667364e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 354 CV score: 6.953454e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 226 CV score: 6.15223e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 147 CV score: 5.674373e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 98 CV score: 5.426745e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 68 CV score: 5.168117e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 49 CV score: 4.859631e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 37 CV score: 4.646518e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 30 CV score: 4.422088e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 25 CV score: 4.430816e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 32 CV score: 4.505602e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 27 CV score: 4.462172e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 30 CV score: 4.422088e+14 - 30 is the recommended data points to use
Building the adaptive bandwidth GWR model
gwr.adaptive <- gwr.basic(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE +
PROX_CBD + PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE +
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA + PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK +
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_BUS_STOP +
NO_Of_UNITS + FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data=condo_resale.sp, bw=bw.adaptive,
kernel = 'gaussian',
adaptive=TRUE,
longlat = FALSE)
gwr.adaptive ***********************************************************************
* Package GWmodel *
***********************************************************************
Program starts at: 2024-03-11 00:30:12
Call:
gwr.basic(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD +
PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA +
PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_SHOPPING_MALL +
PROX_BUS_STOP + NO_Of_UNITS + FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data = condo_resale.sp, bw = bw.adaptive, kernel = "gaussian",
adaptive = TRUE, longlat = FALSE)
Dependent (y) variable: SELLING_PRICE
Independent variables: AREA_SQM AGE PROX_CBD PROX_CHILDCARE PROX_ELDERLYCARE PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA PROX_MRT PROX_PARK PROX_PRIMARY_SCH PROX_SHOPPING_MALL PROX_BUS_STOP NO_Of_UNITS FAMILY_FRIENDLY FREEHOLD
Number of data points: 1436
***********************************************************************
* Results of Global Regression *
***********************************************************************
Call:
lm(formula = formula, data = data)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-3470778 -298119 -23481 248917 12234210
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) 527633.22 108183.22 4.877 1.20e-06 ***
AREA_SQM 12777.52 367.48 34.771 < 2e-16 ***
AGE -24687.74 2754.84 -8.962 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_CBD -77131.32 5763.12 -13.384 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_CHILDCARE -318472.75 107959.51 -2.950 0.003231 **
PROX_ELDERLYCARE 185575.62 39901.86 4.651 3.61e-06 ***
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 39163.25 11754.83 3.332 0.000885 ***
PROX_MRT -294745.11 56916.37 -5.179 2.56e-07 ***
PROX_PARK 570504.81 65507.03 8.709 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 159856.14 60234.60 2.654 0.008046 **
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL -220947.25 36561.83 -6.043 1.93e-09 ***
PROX_BUS_STOP 682482.22 134513.24 5.074 4.42e-07 ***
NO_Of_UNITS -245.48 87.95 -2.791 0.005321 **
FAMILY_FRIENDLY 146307.58 46893.02 3.120 0.001845 **
FREEHOLD 350599.81 48506.48 7.228 7.98e-13 ***
---Significance stars
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Residual standard error: 756000 on 1421 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.6507
Adjusted R-squared: 0.6472
F-statistic: 189.1 on 14 and 1421 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16
***Extra Diagnostic information
Residual sum of squares: 8.120609e+14
Sigma(hat): 752522.9
AIC: 42966.76
AICc: 42967.14
BIC: 41731.39
***********************************************************************
* Results of Geographically Weighted Regression *
***********************************************************************
*********************Model calibration information*********************
Kernel function: gaussian
Adaptive bandwidth: 30 (number of nearest neighbours)
Regression points: the same locations as observations are used.
Distance metric: Euclidean distance metric is used.
****************Summary of GWR coefficient estimates:******************
Min. 1st Qu. Median 3rd Qu.
Intercept -1.3487e+08 -2.4669e+05 7.7928e+05 1.6194e+06
AREA_SQM 3.3188e+03 5.6285e+03 7.7825e+03 1.2738e+04
AGE -9.6746e+04 -2.9288e+04 -1.4043e+04 -5.6119e+03
PROX_CBD -2.5330e+06 -1.6256e+05 -7.7242e+04 2.6624e+03
PROX_CHILDCARE -1.2790e+06 -2.0175e+05 8.7158e+03 3.7778e+05
PROX_ELDERLYCARE -1.6212e+06 -9.2050e+04 6.1029e+04 2.8184e+05
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA -7.2686e+06 -3.0350e+04 4.5869e+04 2.4613e+05
PROX_MRT -4.3781e+07 -6.7282e+05 -2.2115e+05 -7.4593e+04
PROX_PARK -2.9020e+06 -1.6782e+05 1.1601e+05 4.6572e+05
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH -8.6418e+05 -1.6627e+05 -7.7853e+03 4.3222e+05
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL -1.8272e+06 -1.3175e+05 -1.4049e+04 1.3799e+05
PROX_BUS_STOP -2.0579e+06 -7.1461e+04 4.1104e+05 1.2071e+06
NO_Of_UNITS -2.1993e+03 -2.3685e+02 -3.4699e+01 1.1657e+02
FAMILY_FRIENDLY -5.9879e+05 -5.0927e+04 2.6173e+04 2.2481e+05
FREEHOLD -1.6340e+05 4.0765e+04 1.9023e+05 3.7960e+05
Max.
Intercept 18758355
AREA_SQM 23064
AGE 13303
PROX_CBD 11346650
PROX_CHILDCARE 2892127
PROX_ELDERLYCARE 2465671
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 7384059
PROX_MRT 1186242
PROX_PARK 2588497
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 3381462
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL 38038564
PROX_BUS_STOP 12081592
NO_Of_UNITS 1010
FAMILY_FRIENDLY 2072414
FREEHOLD 1813995
************************Diagnostic information*************************
Number of data points: 1436
Effective number of parameters (2trace(S) - trace(S'S)): 350.3088
Effective degrees of freedom (n-2trace(S) + trace(S'S)): 1085.691
AICc (GWR book, Fotheringham, et al. 2002, p. 61, eq 2.33): 41982.22
AIC (GWR book, Fotheringham, et al. 2002,GWR p. 96, eq. 4.22): 41546.74
BIC (GWR book, Fotheringham, et al. 2002,GWR p. 61, eq. 2.34): 41914.08
Residual sum of squares: 2.528227e+14
R-square value: 0.8912425
Adjusted R-square value: 0.8561185
***********************************************************************
Program stops at: 2024-03-11 00:30:13 - The report shows that the AICc the adaptive distance gwr is 41982.22 which is even smaller than the AICc of the fixed distance gwr of 42263.61. Hence, the adaptive bandwidth GWR model is the best model.
Converting SDF into sf data.frame
condo_resale.sf.adaptive <- st_as_sf(gwr.adaptive$SDF) |>
st_transform(crs=3414)
glimpse(condo_resale.sf.adaptive)Rows: 1,436
Columns: 52
$ Intercept <dbl> 2050011.67, 1633128.24, 3433608.17, 234358.91,…
$ AREA_SQM <dbl> 9561.892, 16576.853, 13091.861, 20730.601, 672…
$ AGE <dbl> -9514.634, -58185.479, -26707.386, -93308.988,…
$ PROX_CBD <dbl> -120681.94, -149434.22, -259397.77, 2426853.66…
$ PROX_CHILDCARE <dbl> 319266.925, 441102.177, -120116.816, 480825.28…
$ PROX_ELDERLYCARE <dbl> -393417.795, 325188.741, 535855.806, 314783.72…
$ PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA <dbl> -159980.203, -142290.389, -253621.206, -267929…
$ PROX_MRT <dbl> -299742.96, -2510522.23, -936853.28, -2039479.…
$ PROX_PARK <dbl> -172104.47, 523379.72, 209099.85, -759153.26, …
$ PROX_PRIMARY_SCH <dbl> 242668.03, 1106830.66, 571462.33, 3127477.21, …
$ PROX_SHOPPING_MALL <dbl> 300881.390, -87693.378, -126732.712, -29593.34…
$ PROX_BUS_STOP <dbl> 1210615.44, 1843587.22, 1411924.90, 7225577.51…
$ NO_Of_UNITS <dbl> 104.8290640, -288.3441183, -9.5532945, -161.35…
$ FAMILY_FRIENDLY <dbl> -9075.370, 310074.664, 5949.746, 1556178.531, …
$ FREEHOLD <dbl> 303955.61, 396221.27, 168821.75, 1212515.58, 3…
$ y <dbl> 3000000, 3880000, 3325000, 4250000, 1400000, 1…
$ yhat <dbl> 2886531.8, 3466801.5, 3616527.2, 5435481.6, 13…
$ residual <dbl> 113468.16, 413198.52, -291527.20, -1185481.63,…
$ CV_Score <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0…
$ Stud_residual <dbl> 0.38207013, 1.01433140, -0.83780678, -2.846146…
$ Intercept_SE <dbl> 516105.5, 488083.5, 963711.4, 444185.5, 211962…
$ AREA_SQM_SE <dbl> 823.2860, 825.2380, 988.2240, 617.4007, 1376.2…
$ AGE_SE <dbl> 5889.782, 6226.916, 6510.236, 6010.511, 8180.3…
$ PROX_CBD_SE <dbl> 37411.22, 23615.06, 56103.77, 469337.41, 41064…
$ PROX_CHILDCARE_SE <dbl> 319111.1, 299705.3, 349128.5, 304965.2, 698720…
$ PROX_ELDERLYCARE_SE <dbl> 120633.34, 84546.69, 129687.07, 127150.69, 327…
$ PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA_SE <dbl> 56207.39, 76956.50, 95774.60, 470762.12, 47433…
$ PROX_MRT_SE <dbl> 185181.3, 281133.9, 275483.7, 279877.1, 363830…
$ PROX_PARK_SE <dbl> 205499.6, 229358.7, 314124.3, 227249.4, 364580…
$ PROX_PRIMARY_SCH_SE <dbl> 152400.7, 165150.7, 196662.6, 240878.9, 249087…
$ PROX_SHOPPING_MALL_SE <dbl> 109268.8, 98906.8, 119913.3, 177104.1, 301032.…
$ PROX_BUS_STOP_SE <dbl> 600668.6, 410222.1, 464156.7, 562810.8, 740922…
$ NO_Of_UNITS_SE <dbl> 218.1258, 208.9410, 210.9828, 361.7767, 299.50…
$ FAMILY_FRIENDLY_SE <dbl> 131474.73, 114989.07, 146607.22, 108726.62, 16…
$ FREEHOLD_SE <dbl> 115954.0, 130110.0, 141031.5, 138239.1, 210641…
$ Intercept_TV <dbl> 3.9720784, 3.3460017, 3.5629010, 0.5276150, 1.…
$ AREA_SQM_TV <dbl> 11.614302, 20.087361, 13.247868, 33.577223, 4.…
$ AGE_TV <dbl> -1.6154474, -9.3441881, -4.1023685, -15.524301…
$ PROX_CBD_TV <dbl> -3.22582173, -6.32792021, -4.62353528, 5.17080…
$ PROX_CHILDCARE_TV <dbl> 1.000488185, 1.471786337, -0.344047555, 1.5766…
$ PROX_ELDERLYCARE_TV <dbl> -3.26126929, 3.84626245, 4.13191383, 2.4756745…
$ PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA_TV <dbl> -2.846248368, -1.848971738, -2.648105057, -5.6…
$ PROX_MRT_TV <dbl> -1.61864578, -8.92998600, -3.40075727, -7.2870…
$ PROX_PARK_TV <dbl> -0.83749312, 2.28192684, 0.66565951, -3.340617…
$ PROX_PRIMARY_SCH_TV <dbl> 1.59230221, 6.70194543, 2.90580089, 12.9836104…
$ PROX_SHOPPING_MALL_TV <dbl> 2.753588422, -0.886626400, -1.056869486, -0.16…
$ PROX_BUS_STOP_TV <dbl> 2.0154464, 4.4941192, 3.0419145, 12.8383775, 0…
$ NO_Of_UNITS_TV <dbl> 0.480589953, -1.380026395, -0.045279967, -0.44…
$ FAMILY_FRIENDLY_TV <dbl> -0.06902748, 2.69655779, 0.04058290, 14.312764…
$ FREEHOLD_TV <dbl> 2.6213469, 3.0452799, 1.1970499, 8.7711485, 1.…
$ Local_R2 <dbl> 0.8846744, 0.8899773, 0.8947007, 0.9073605, 0.…
$ geometry <POINT [m]> POINT (22085.12 29951.54), POINT (25656.…summary(condo_resale.sf.adaptive) Intercept AREA_SQM AGE PROX_CBD
Min. :-134874192 Min. : 3319 Min. :-96746 Min. :-2533033
1st Qu.: -246693 1st Qu.: 5628 1st Qu.:-29288 1st Qu.: -162556
Median : 779280 Median : 7782 Median :-14043 Median : -77242
Mean : -897624 Mean : 9369 Mean :-21313 Mean : 146548
3rd Qu.: 1619360 3rd Qu.:12738 3rd Qu.: -5612 3rd Qu.: 2662
Max. : 18758355 Max. :23064 Max. : 13303 Max. :11346650
PROX_CHILDCARE PROX_ELDERLYCARE PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA PROX_MRT
Min. :-1279037 Min. :-1621218 Min. :-7268553 Min. :-43780537
1st Qu.: -201753 1st Qu.: -92050 1st Qu.: -30350 1st Qu.: -672818
Median : 8716 Median : 61029 Median : 45869 Median : -221150
Mean : 126559 Mean : 68816 Mean : 44603 Mean : -716036
3rd Qu.: 377777 3rd Qu.: 281844 3rd Qu.: 246125 3rd Qu.: -74593
Max. : 2892128 Max. : 2465671 Max. : 7384059 Max. : 1186242
PROX_PARK PROX_PRIMARY_SCH PROX_SHOPPING_MALL PROX_BUS_STOP
Min. :-2902027 Min. :-864176 Min. :-1827151 Min. :-2057896
1st Qu.: -167821 1st Qu.:-166267 1st Qu.: -131755 1st Qu.: -71461
Median : 116014 Median : -7785 Median : -14049 Median : 411041
Mean : 97457 Mean : 270236 Mean : 185145 Mean : 897355
3rd Qu.: 465718 3rd Qu.: 432218 3rd Qu.: 137986 3rd Qu.: 1207120
Max. : 2588497 Max. :3381462 Max. :38038564 Max. :12081592
NO_Of_UNITS FAMILY_FRIENDLY FREEHOLD y
Min. :-2199.3 Min. :-598787 Min. :-163402 Min. : 540000
1st Qu.: -236.9 1st Qu.: -50927 1st Qu.: 40765 1st Qu.: 1100000
Median : -34.7 Median : 26172 Median : 190227 Median : 1383222
Mean : -107.1 Mean : 166301 Mean : 266924 Mean : 1751211
3rd Qu.: 116.6 3rd Qu.: 224806 3rd Qu.: 379604 3rd Qu.: 1950000
Max. : 1010.0 Max. :2072414 Max. :1813995 Max. :18000000
yhat residual CV_Score Stud_residual
Min. : 171347 Min. :-2697076 Min. :0 Min. :-7.942110
1st Qu.: 1102001 1st Qu.: -111716 1st Qu.:0 1st Qu.:-0.263588
Median : 1385528 Median : -8015 Median :0 Median :-0.019343
Mean : 1751842 Mean : -632 Mean :0 Mean :-0.002438
3rd Qu.: 1982307 3rd Qu.: 99163 3rd Qu.:0 3rd Qu.: 0.236151
Max. :13887901 Max. : 6078249 Max. :0 Max. :15.622477
Intercept_SE AREA_SQM_SE AGE_SE PROX_CBD_SE
Min. : 119302 Min. : 369.9 Min. : 3450 Min. : 8578
1st Qu.: 387889 1st Qu.: 815.0 1st Qu.: 6697 1st Qu.: 43327
Median : 830611 Median :1168.7 Median : 8412 Median : 102853
Mean : 5597856 Mean :1360.8 Mean :10881 Mean : 606887
3rd Qu.: 2263500 3rd Qu.:1814.3 3rd Qu.:12431 3rd Qu.: 473977
Max. :191291057 Max. :3814.8 Max. :63397 Max. :18376523
PROX_CHILDCARE_SE PROX_ELDERLYCARE_SE PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA_SE
Min. : 115118 Min. : 47965 Min. : 17199
1st Qu.: 335870 1st Qu.: 125174 1st Qu.: 64249
Median : 458604 Median : 194954 Median : 130555
Mean : 672313 Mean : 470975 Mean : 523732
3rd Qu.: 868246 3rd Qu.: 412515 3rd Qu.: 471050
Max. :3170497 Max. :7645693 Max. :17947328
PROX_MRT_SE PROX_PARK_SE PROX_PRIMARY_SCH_SE PROX_SHOPPING_MALL_SE
Min. : 77024 Min. : 88291 Min. : 68017 Min. : 42977
1st Qu.: 187911 1st Qu.: 200492 1st Qu.: 181037 1st Qu.: 119054
Median : 289355 Median : 300547 Median : 258989 Median : 196793
Mean : 661801 Mean : 515851 Mean : 461747 Mean : 605519
3rd Qu.: 546665 3rd Qu.: 571491 3rd Qu.: 455617 3rd Qu.: 371110
Max. :41431032 Max. :3244161 Max. :6990166 Max. :37100831
PROX_BUS_STOP_SE NO_Of_UNITS_SE FAMILY_FRIENDLY_SE FREEHOLD_SE
Min. : 172560 Min. : 111.5 Min. : 61105 Min. : 60991
1st Qu.: 517756 1st Qu.: 226.4 1st Qu.: 116307 1st Qu.:123463
Median : 687426 Median : 322.3 Median : 144205 Median :153053
Mean : 856954 Mean : 426.4 Mean : 180840 Mean :189050
3rd Qu.: 993225 3rd Qu.: 493.5 3rd Qu.: 211078 3rd Qu.:212051
Max. :3576454 Max. :2723.1 Max. :1635765 Max. :881386
Intercept_TV AREA_SQM_TV AGE_TV PROX_CBD_TV
Min. :-6.3753 Min. : 1.170 Min. :-17.9823 Min. :-10.675649
1st Qu.:-0.1465 1st Qu.: 3.693 1st Qu.: -4.1780 1st Qu.: -2.907359
Median : 0.8590 Median : 5.670 Median : -1.3042 Median : -1.040214
Mean : 1.1280 Mean : 9.969 Mean : -2.9246 Mean : -1.554989
3rd Qu.: 2.5282 3rd Qu.:14.752 3rd Qu.: -0.6174 3rd Qu.: 0.008229
Max. : 9.2546 Max. :42.622 Max. : 0.7725 Max. : 7.693877
PROX_CHILDCARE_TV PROX_ELDERLYCARE_TV PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA_TV
Min. :-8.97150 Min. :-4.2604 Min. :-8.4750
1st Qu.:-0.31722 1st Qu.:-0.2597 1st Qu.:-0.1811
Median : 0.02838 Median : 0.2327 Median : 0.4812
Mean :-0.02296 Mean : 0.7915 Mean : 0.4277
3rd Qu.: 0.63933 3rd Qu.: 1.4603 3rd Qu.: 1.2202
Max. : 6.50066 Max. : 8.8980 Max. : 5.5238
PROX_MRT_TV PROX_PARK_TV PROX_PRIMARY_SCH_TV PROX_SHOPPING_MALL_TV
Min. :-11.2551 Min. :-4.1636 Min. :-1.77483 Min. :-9.2245
1st Qu.: -2.4386 1st Qu.:-0.4878 1st Qu.:-0.55792 1st Qu.:-0.8897
Median : -0.9325 Median : 0.3052 Median :-0.03421 Median :-0.0510
Mean : -1.8112 Mean : 0.7456 Mean : 1.06777 Mean :-0.3517
3rd Qu.: -0.2470 3rd Qu.: 1.3351 3rd Qu.: 1.35941 3rd Qu.: 0.5370
Max. : 1.7165 Max. : 9.3279 Max. :15.09671 Max. : 4.1549
PROX_BUS_STOP_TV NO_Of_UNITS_TV FAMILY_FRIENDLY_TV FREEHOLD_TV
Min. :-1.5039 Min. :-6.42798 Min. :-3.1546 Min. :-0.4301
1st Qu.:-0.1049 1st Qu.:-0.75876 1st Qu.:-0.3079 1st Qu.: 0.1866
Median : 0.4684 Median :-0.08639 Median : 0.1459 Median : 1.3467
Mean : 1.6410 Mean :-0.31692 Mean : 1.3043 Mean : 1.9658
3rd Qu.: 2.5739 3rd Qu.: 0.31732 3rd Qu.: 1.5096 3rd Qu.: 2.4151
Max. :14.5191 Max. : 3.16118 Max. :16.3775 Max. :11.9287
Local_R2 geometry
Min. :0.6718 POINT :1436
1st Qu.:0.8746 epsg:3414 : 0
Median :0.9067 +proj=tmer...: 0
Mean :0.9018
3rd Qu.:0.9531
Max. :0.9926 Visualising local R2
tmap_mode("view")tmap mode set to interactive viewingtm_shape(mpsz_svy21)+
tm_polygons(alpha = 0.1) +
tm_shape(condo_resale.sf.adaptive) +
tm_dots(col = "Local_R2",
border.col = "gray60",
border.lwd = 1) +
tm_view(set.zoom.limits = c(11,14))Warning: The shape mpsz_svy21 is invalid (after reprojection). See
sf::st_is_validtmap_mode("plot")tmap mode set to plottingVisualising coefficients estimates
tmap_mode("view")tmap mode set to interactive viewingAREA_SQM_SE <- tm_shape(mpsz_svy21)+
tm_polygons(alpha = 0.1) +
tm_shape(condo_resale.sf.adaptive) +
tm_dots(col = "AREA_SQM_SE",
border.col = "gray60",
border.lwd = 1) +
tm_view(set.zoom.limits = c(11,14))
AREA_SQM_TV <- tm_shape(mpsz_svy21)+
tm_polygons(alpha = 0.1) +
tm_shape(condo_resale.sf.adaptive) +
tm_dots(col = "AREA_SQM_TV",
border.col = "gray60",
border.lwd = 1) +
tm_view(set.zoom.limits = c(11,14))
tmap_arrange(AREA_SQM_SE, AREA_SQM_TV,
asp=1, ncol=2,
sync = TRUE)Warning: The shape mpsz_svy21 is invalid (after reprojection). See
sf::st_is_valid
Warning: The shape mpsz_svy21 is invalid (after reprojection). See
sf::st_is_validtmap_mode("plot")tmap mode set to plottingVisualising local R2 by URA planning region
tm_shape(mpsz_svy21[mpsz_svy21$REGION_N=="CENTRAL REGION", ])+
tm_polygons()+
tm_shape(condo_resale.sf.adaptive) +
tm_bubbles(col = "Local_R2",
size = 0.15,
border.col = "gray60",
border.lwd = 1)Warning: The shape mpsz_svy21[mpsz_svy21$REGION_N == "CENTRAL REGION", ] is
invalid. See sf::st_is_valid